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Thread: Think people will be interested in this (a bit scary)

  1. #1
    MOCGB Paid Member GoldenGooner's Avatar
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    Think people will be interested in this (a bit scary)

    Was sent to me by someone was chatting to yesterday
    (its long)
    Not sure how much is true and what will happen, but the way the world is changing, does seem a lot of it will

    This is the new way of the world

    In 1998, Kodak had 170,000 employees and sold 85% of all photo paper
    worldwide.
    Within just a few years, their business model disappeared and they became
    bankrupt.
    What happened to Kodak will happen in a lot of industries in the next 10
    year - and most people don't see it coming.
    Did you think in 1998 that 3 years later you would never take pictures on
    paper film again?

    Yet digital cameras were invented in 1975.
    The first ones only had 10,000 pixels, but followed Moore's law.
    So as with all exponential technologies, it was a disappointment for a long
    time, before it became way superior and got mainstream in only a few short
    years.

    It will now happen with Artificial Intelligence, health, autonomous and
    electric cars, education, 3D printing, agriculture and jobs.

    Welcome to the 4th Industrial Revolution.
    Welcome to the Exponential Age.

    Software will disrupt most traditional industries in the next 5-10 years.

    Uber is just a software tool, they don't own any cars, and are now the
    biggest taxi company in the world.
    Airbnb is now the biggest hotel company in the world, although they don't
    own any properties.

    Artificial Intelligence: Computers become exponentially better in
    understanding the world.
    This year, a computer beat the best Go player in the world, 10 years earlier
    than expected.

    In the US, young lawyers already don't get jobs.
    Because of IBM Watson, you can get legal advice (so far for more or less
    basic stuff) within seconds, with 90% accuracy compared with 70% accuracy
    when done by humans.
    So if you study law, stop immediately.

    There will be 90% less lawyers in the future, only specialists will remain.

    Watson already helps nurses diagnosing cancer, 4 time more accurate than
    human nurses.

    Facebook now has a pattern recognition software that can recognize faces
    better than humans.

    In 2030, computers will become more intelligent than humans.

    Autonomous cars: In 2018 the first self driving cars will appear for the
    public.
    Around 2020, the complete industry will start to be disrupted.
    You don't want to own a car any more.

    You will call a car with your phone, it will show up at your location and
    drive you to your destination.
    You will not need to park it, you only pay for the driven distance and can
    be productive while driving.
    Our kids will never get a driver's licence and will never own a car.

    It will change the cities, because we will need 90-95% less cars for that.

    We can transform former parking space into parks. 1.2 million people die
    each year in car accidents worldwide.
    We now have one accident every 100,000 km, with autonomous driving that will
    drop to one accident in 10 million km.
    That will save a million lives each year.

    Most car companies might become bankrupt. Traditional car companies try the
    evolutionary approach and just build a better car, while tech companies
    (Tesla, Apple, Google) will do the revolutionary approach and build a
    computer on wheels.

    I spoke to a lot of engineers from Volkswagen and Audi; they are completely
    terrified of Tesla.

    With cheap electricity comes cheap and abundant water.
    Desalination now only needs 2kWh per cubic meter.
    We don't have scarce water in most places, we only have scarce drinking
    water.

    Imagine what will be possible if anyone can have as much clean water as he
    wants, for nearly no cost.

    Health: The Tricorder X price will be announced this year.
    There will be companies who will build a medical device (called the
    "Tricorder" from Star Trek) that works with your phone, which takes your
    retina scan, your blood sample and you breath into it.
    It then analyses 54 biomarkers that will identify nearly any disease.
    It will be cheap, so in a few years everyone on this planet will have access
    to world class medicine, nearly for free.

    3D printing: The price of the cheapest 3D printer came down from $18,000 to
    $400 within 10 years.
    In the same time, it became 100 times faster.

    All major shoe companies started 3D printing shoes.
    Spare airplane parts are already 3D printed in remote airports.
    The space station now has a printer that eliminates the need for the large
    amount of spare parts they used to have in the past.
    At the end of this year, new smartphones will have 3D scanning
    possibilities.
    You can then 3D scan your feet and print your perfect shoe at home.

    In China, they already 3D printed a complete 6-storey office building.

    By 2027, 10% of everything that's being produced will be 3D printed.

    Business opportunities: If you think of a niche you want to go in, ask
    yourself: "in the future, do you think we will have that?" and if the answer
    is yes, how can you make that happen sooner?
    If it doesn't work with your phone, forget the idea.

    And any idea designed for success in the 20th century is doomed to failure
    in the 21st century.

    Work: 70-80% of jobs will disappear in the next 20 years.

    There will be a lot of new jobs, but it is not clear if there will be enough
    new jobs in such a small time.

    Agriculture: There will be a $100 agricultural robot in the future.
    Farmers in 3rd world countries can then become managers of their field
    instead of working every day.

    Aquaponics will need much less water.
    The first petri dish that produced veal is now available and will be cheaper
    than cow produced veal in 2018.
    Right now, 30% of all agricultural surfaces is used for cows.
    Imagine if we don't need that space anymore.

    There are several start-ups who will bring insect protein to the market
    shortly.
    It contains more protein than meat.
    It will be labelled as "alternative protein source" (because most people
    still reject the idea of eating insects).

    There is an app called "moodies" which can already tell in which mood you
    are.

    Until 2020 there will be apps that can tell by your facial expressions if
    you are lying.

    Imagine a political debate where it's being displayed when they are telling
    the truth and when not.

    Bitcoin will become mainstream this year and might even become the default
    reserve currency.

    Longevity: Right now, the average life span increases by 3 months per year.
    Four years ago, the life span used to be 79 years, now it's 80 years.

    The increase itself is increasing and by 2036, there will be more that one
    year increase per year.
    So we all might live for a long long time, probably way more than 100.

    Education: The cheapest smartphones are already at $10 in Africa and Asia.
    In 2020, 70% of all humans will own a smartphone.

    That means, everyone has the same access to world class education.
    Every child can use Khan academy for everything a child learns at school in
    First World countries.

    We have already released our software in Indonesia and will release it in
    Arabic, Suaheli and Chinese this Summer, because I see an enormous
    potential.
    We will give the English app for free, so that children in Africa can become
    fluent in English within half a year.......

    Fascinating but a bit scary too..
    The Black Shadow, California Special 2016

  2. #2
    MOCGB Paid Member Anaconda's Avatar
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    Spam??????

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  3. #3
    MOCGB Paid Member GoldenGooner's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Anaconda View Post
    Spam??????
    what are you talking about?
    I found it interesting and felt that some people on here might. why is is Spam?
    The Black Shadow, California Special 2016

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    Guest uze's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by GoldenGooner View Post
    what are you talking about?
    I found it interesting and felt that some people on here might. why is is Spam?

    No he meant rather eat or read a tin of Spam I think
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    MOCGB Paid Member bluestang's Avatar
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    Nothing new there, just been reworked to include a few new businesses.

    Think it's something called progress.......

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  6. #6
    MOCGB Paid Member GoldenGooner's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by uze View Post
    No he meant rather eat or read a tin of Spam I think
    haha
    well you can't run away from it, it's happening for good or bad
    just found it interesting
    sorry
    The Black Shadow, California Special 2016

  7. #7
    Guest uze's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by GoldenGooner View Post
    haha
    well you can't run away from it, it's happening for good or bad
    just found it interesting
    sorry
    It was fine mate just a bit long and winded. We are gaining in so many ways tech wise is amazing.
    Shame people dont evolve at the same time.
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    Guest ALLAN R's Avatar
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    Yes the world is changing and the speed of change is increasing but for the better --I don't know? In some ways but not others. There might just be a kick back against the digital age, we all moan about kids spending 7 hours a day looking at their phone and other devices, preferring to live in a semi virtual world but at the same time losing vital social skills.

    What year did Skynet become self aware??
    Allan

  9. #9
    MOCGB Paid Member snap on pete's Avatar
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    Got bored half way down
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  10. #10
    MOCGB Paid Member irocfan's Avatar
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    skimmed it and there's an obvious flaw in that message though - it says that in half a year a child'll become fluent in English....



    NOT


    GOING


    TO


    HAPPEN

  11. #11
    MOCGB Paid Member Triplewhite's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by snap on pete View Post
    Got bored half way down
    Didn't get that far, can do without the scaremongering.

    Mark.
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  12. #12
    Super Moderator GeoffW's Avatar
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    Kodak hasn't gone bust, it's very much alive:

    http://www.kodak.com/GB/en/corp/company/default.htm

    Didn't bother reading the rest.
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    bloody scary i thought,

  14. #14
    Guest Chriswrx123's Avatar
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    All very interesting but one thing you forgot in 20yrs or less and with an ever increasing population we haven't enough land to grow food for us all. There will be food shortages and world hunger more so then now

  15. #15
    MOCGB Paid Member 69 coupe's Avatar
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    Interesting stuff.... But whose going to unblock your toilets!

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